Consumption up 12 million tonnes/year by 2015

Ar n _aevision of world human population umbers caused us to increase our ssessment of the average annual consumption of eggs to around 9.3kg/ person/year. However, too much attention should not be paid to absolute levels. It is the trend that is more important and this trend has definitely been upwards. It should be appreciated that consumption merely indicates the volume of eggs available (the supply), distinct from measurements of actual consumption. Also, prices paid for the eggs have to be taken into account to ascertain whether demand has improved.

The FAO had not published its 2006 9 consumption estimates when this Executive Guide was compiled. Nevertheless, we have ⁸ included their data for 1995, 2000 and 2005 again as, for most countries, changes from ⁷ one year to the next will not be great. ₆

Professor Hans-Wilhelm Windhorst, statistical analyst for the International Egg 5 Commission, asserted that between 2005 and 2015 global population is expected to ⁴ increase by 780 million people. The rise would ₃ be much higher in less developed countries, with the highest absolute increases in Asia 2 (+451m) and Africa (+227m). Europe’s population would decrease by 4m. ¹

About 53 percent of the projected
population increase would occur in the 10 ⁰
most populated countries, with India and
China accounting for 32 percent.

Regarding age structure he argued that, where a high percentage of the population is less than 15 years old, as in many less Regional egg consumption developed countries, total egg consumption would rise. Increasing urbanisation usually ¹⁶ resulted in a growth of per capita national income and increased buying power. 14

He forecast that global egg consumption would increase from 58.8 million tonnes in ₁₂ 2005 to around 70.9mt in 2015. Egg demand would increase faster in less developed ₁₀ countries.

on some major risk factors and also
political decisions.

Those factors include: the spread of highly infectious poultry disease such as HPAI, increasing feed costs because of the boom in bioenergy production, and the impacts of political decisions, such as the banning of conventional cages in the European Union, on production and trade.

He also warned of the deficiencies in

the reliability of the production data used as the basis for the calculations and that the correlation between per capita income and per capita egg consumption was questionable.

Note: As publication of the World Bank Atlas has been delayed until later this year, the financial data presented in the accompanying table are unchanged from last year’s Executive Guide.

World egg consumption (kg/person)

10

1991

1992

1993

1994

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1990

For 2006, the average annual consumption of eggs is projected to be around
9.3kg/person/year.

1990 1998

1993 1999 1994 2000 1995 2001 1996 2002 1997 2003

Largest increase in Asia

Of the extra demand for some 12 million tonnes, 8mt or 67 percent would arise in Asia. The highest additional demand would come from China (6mt), followed by India (1.2mt), the USA (0.6mt), Brazil (0.4mt) and Indonesia (0.4mt).

He considered that egg demand would
only decrease in just a few countries such
as Hungary, Greece and Japan.
However, he warned that predicted
global output of 70.9mt by 2015 depends

8

6

4

2

0

Africa

Asia

Europe

N. C. America

Oceania

S. America

Of the extra additional demand for some 12 million tonnes, 8mt or 67 percent is
expected to come from Asia.